DECISION-MAKING STRATEGY UNDER CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY CONDITIONS
Romanov Vadim Nikolaevich
National Mineral Resources University (University of Mines)
Abstract. In the article the approach to the choice of decision-making strategy under the conditions of unexpected changes and the instability of outside environment based on fuzzy models is suggested. The example from economics is considered, which shows the advantages of the suggested approach, in particular, application area extension, independence from numerical context and system type, the simplification of analysis and calculation.
Key words and phrases: марковские модели, нечеткие модели, оптимальная стратегия при нестабильной ситуации, матрица потерь, безопасность, риск, Markov models, fuzzy models, optimal strategy in unstable situation, regret matrix, safety, risk
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