ANALYSIS OF MORTALITY TABLES IN RUSSIA FOR TWO CENTURIES
Ivanyuk Aleksandr Maksimovich, Danilov Vladimir Vasil'evich
Petersburg State Transport University
Abstract. The article shows the limitedness of "conditional generations" method and considers the applicability of the tables constructed on its basis while studying mortality demographic functions. To this end, the iterative method of determining real generations parameters "blindly", with acceptable accuracy, was developed. Such approach based on "real generations" recalculated tables enabled to confirm the fact of parameter t degradation , restore Makeham function, detect the counterfeit character of the soviet period demographic tables.
Key words and phrases: интенсивность смертности, теория надёжности, условные и реальные поколения, функция Мейкема, демографические функции, mortality intensity, reliability theory, conditional and real generations, Makeham function, demographic functions
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Русский
