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ISSUE:    Almanac of Modern Science and Education. 2014. Issue 2
COLLECTION:    Physical-Mathematical Sciences

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DECISION-MAKING STRATEGY UNDER CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY CONDITIONS

Vadim Nikolaevich Romanov
National Mineral Resources University (University of Mines)


Submitted: February 10, 2014
Abstract. In the article the approach to the choice of decision-making strategy under the conditions of unexpected changes and the instability of outside environment based on fuzzy models is suggested. The example from economics is considered, which shows the advantages of the suggested approach, in particular, application area extension, independence from numerical context and system type, the simplification of analysis and calculation.
Key words and phrases:
марковские модели
нечеткие модели
оптимальная стратегия при нестабильной ситуации
матрица потерь
безопасность
риск
Markov models
fuzzy models
optimal strategy in unstable situation
regret matrix
safety
risk
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References:
  1. Беллман Р. Введение в теорию матриц. М.: Наука, 1969. 368 с.
  2. Романов В. Н. Нечеткие модели принятия решений // Альманах современной науки и образования. Тамбов: Грамота, 2013. № 5. С. 144-147.
  3. Романов В. Н. Оценка риска в задачах принятия решений на основе нечетких моделей // Альманах современной науки и образования. Тамбов: Грамота, 2013. № 4. С. 163-167.
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